
Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading & AOC Might Win It All in 2028
June 29, 2026 · 1 h 1 min
🎙️ Full episode
No time for the whole episode?
A debrief is a short AI summary of this episode, written and voiced: the key takeaways, notable quotes, and the moments worth hearing in full. It takes a few minutes to make. Free during the beta, up to 5 new debriefs a week.
Show notes
() Nate Silver joins the pod!
() California's ballot counting problem: Raman's late-mail surge, ballot harvesting claims, and why the US counts slower than India
() Democrats' three-way civil war: The left, the abundance libs, and Newsom's "resistance lib" base
() The winning 2028 playbook: Anti-oligarch messaging, why young men want control, and immigrants fleeing the Dems
() How algorithmic social media entrenches polarization: Elon's X, filter bubbles, and the death of the chronological feed
() 2026 midterm predictions: 85-90% Dem House takeover, Senate toss-up, and the Iran/gas price wildcard
() Newsom is collapsing in polls: Nate's 2028 Dem bet is AOC
Thanks to our partners!
Northwest Registered Agent — Starting a business? Northwest Registered Agent gives you everything you need to build a complete Business Identity including free tools and built-in privacy. Get more at northwestregisteredagent.com/ALLINFREE
PLAUD — If your work depends on conversations — meetings, deal flow, interviews, customer calls — Plaud helps you capture and organize everything with highly accurate AI-generated notes that are not just simple summaries, but also highlight pain points, key decisions, next steps, and customizable summary templates. Check out Plaud at https://www.plaud.ai/allin and use code ALLIN for 10% off! It is also available on Amazon: https://amzn.to/43URLff (Code: ALLIN10X)
Follow Nate:
Follow the besties:
Follow on X:
Follow on Instagram:
https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
Follow on TikTok:
https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
All episodes of All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg →